Fantasy Football

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The Pro, Andy Behrens, has written a few words about this year’s FFL MVPs that I think is worth a response.

I didn’t draft anyone in the top 15.  I drafted two players total from that list: Roddy White and Matt Forte. And yet I’m in the playoffs this week, with a shot at the prize.  All thanks to 41 different roster moves.

Of course, it all stems from the fact that I drafted Brady in the first round.  Yeah, that’s going to teach me something about karma.

I started seven different QBs over the course of the season: Brady, Palmer, Silky, Mister J.T. O’Sullivan IV, Aaron Rodgers (trade), Kyle Orton (it worked for one game!), and Peyton Manning (another trade).

I suspect a lot of the folks who like me had Brady, but didn’t give up, and didn’t draft any of those players (my 2nd and 3rd rounders were Marshawn Lynch and Marques Colston - mediocre and less than mediocre) are in the playoffs by virtue of a lot of moves.  Those 41 moves included four trades (1/3rd of the league’s total) - three of which netted me players on this board (Aaron Rodgers, Andre Johnson, and Brian Westbrook - the last of which was a deadline trade which dogged me for two weeks and made me think I’d wrecked my chance at the postseason, but ultimately came through).

The end result: I’m in the playoffs at 7-5-1.

In retrospect, there were only three moves I’d undo after the Brady injury: I’d have held on to Steve Slaton (after he opened with a mediocre effort and had a bye in the second week, I dropped him for Pierre Thomas); I’d have held onto Matt Cassel longer (dropped him during his bye week after the atrocious Miami game); and instead of holding on to DeSean Jackson until he lost value, I’d have picked up Lance Moore when he was available.

Otherwise, I think I did pretty good to make the playoffs after such a devastating injury and a terrible top of the draft.  Lessons for next year I suppose.  Maybe someday I can be as smart as these ugly idiots.

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On Injury Notices

In back to back weeks, I’ve experienced the fun of late scratches before the starting gun in the NFL.

Last week, it was Aaron Rodgers stuck on my bench, who everyone expected not to play during the week after a sprained shoulder, but who ultimately didn’t just start - he was the second leading fantasy QB.

This week, it was Roddy White, who was on a real tear, but didn’t practice all week after an in-practice injury, and who was as of an hour before the games started still reported as being the third WR in the game, if he would play at all.  His line for the day - at this point, tied for fourth best among WRs: 9 catches, 112 yards, and a TD.

I still won last week, and I’m in the mix for this week against the previously undefeated Red Barons. But dagnabbit, if you’re questionable in the Fantasy game, can’t you at least be polite enough to not have an awesome scoring day?

Update: I started Braylon Edwards instead. I’m happy. :)

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Andy Behrens, otherwise known as the UFSLer on top of the College Pickem game, tied with me at 4th in Fantasy Football, and about to show whether he can hold first place in Hockey, has a fascinating post on trading strategy that applies to all fantasy sports, regardless of type.

In most of my leagues, trading markets are frozen. Nothing moves…not the good assets, not the toxic assets. Fear rules. This is largely due to the fact that my leagues are full of fantasy professionals, and we’re all a bunch of bedwetters who lack the necessary man-parts to make serious deals, even when a trade can clearly help us both, Funston! patient, risk-averse deep-thinkers.

Many experts would rather lose a league than lose a trade. Thus, I’ve only succeeded in making low-level deals to cover bye weeks. There’s nothing worth analyzing, and certainly no reason for me to gloat.

Yet in real leagues where owners aren’t so timid, trade markets are lively. Greed trumps fear. Responsible owners are doing whatever they can to improve. You’re looking ahead to Chris Johnson’s rather friendly schedule, and you’re buying. Or you’re fretting about LaDainian Tomlinson’s toe, so you’re selling.

Team America, bend an ear.

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Early Season Epic

Now this was one epic early season matchup.  Darren Sproles was the deciding factor, but both of us left points on the bench - Forte and Lendale White for me, and *gulp* Ronnie Brown for Leon.  Had Leon started Brown instead of Bryant Johnson, this game would’ve featured all five of the top RBs in fantasy this week.  Wowzah.

San Juan Pirates 1-2-0

First Brady, now Colston. Slobberknockers.

Points
Pos
Player
Opp
Status
Projected
Actual
QB
(SF - QB)
Det W, 31-13 15 22
WR
(Phi - WR)
Pit W, 15-6 9 4
WR
(Atl - WR)
KC W, 38-14 6 17
RB
(Buf - RB)
Oak W, 24-23 15 23
RB
(SD - RB)
NYJ W, 48-29 13 6
TE
(Was - TE)
Ari W, 24-17 7 7
W/R
(NO - RB)
@Den L, 34-32 9 24
K
(Hou - K)
@Ten L, 31-12 7 7
DEF
(Chi - DEF)
TB L, 27-24 10 8
Total 91 118
Points
Pos
Player
Opp
Status
Projected
Actual
QB
(Ind - QB)
Jac L, 23-21 20 13
WR
(Ari - WR)
@Was L, 24-17 11 8
WR
(Was - WR)
Ari W, 24-17 8 13
RB
(Atl - RB)
KC W, 38-14 16 28
RB
(SF - RB)
Det W, 31-13 21 22
TE
(Den - TE)
NO W, 34-32 7 1
W/R
(SF - WR)
Det W, 31-13 4 2
K
(Ten - K)
Hou W, 31-12 9 8
DEF
(Ten - DEF)
Hou W, 31-12 12 19
Total 108 114

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I hated it as soon as I’d done it. I have a rule about not taking guys I dislike personally in the first round - it always paid off when I avoided head cases for Peyton Manning - but I broke it to take Brady. All the stud RBs were gone, and it made sense.

Now I’m scrambling a bit. But I think it’ll be okay. I took fliers on several RBs beyond Lynch and Bush, and if the first week is any indication, Matt Forte can take me the rest of the way. I had to part with Felix Jones, though - which I hate, because he has a ton of upside - in a trade to snag David Garrard, who I think can be an acceptable fallback (though never a gamebreaker). I’ve got Cassel, but don’t expect anything consistent from him (even though that NE offense should make him look better - he wasn’t throwing to Moss or behind that stout O-Line in the preseason after all).

This was the first year I broke with the RB-RB strategy, and it’s burned me right off the bat. And no, I don’t think a Trent Edwards + Cassel strategery would work out too well, despite what the gurus at ESPN say.

Not an auspicious start. But that’s karma for ya.

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Drafted

LenDale White is gay.

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